CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
SPECIAL ACCESS PROGRAM
SPECIAL REPORT
SUN STREAK EVALUATION
WARNING NOTICE:
THIS MATERIAL IS
RESTRICTED TO THOSE WITH VERIFIED
ACCESS TO SUN STREAK LEVEL 3 (SS-3) .
2 NOVEMBER 1989
CLASSIFIED BY: DIA/ST
DECLASSIFY BY: OADR
"/NOFORN
SPECIAL ACCESS PROGRAM
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
UNCLASSIFIED
CONTENTS
1
PURPOSE
i
I BACKGROUND
II EVALUATION
1. Data Base
2. Evaluation Techniques
3. Evaluation Results
III FINDINGS
APPENDIX
I.
PROJECT RECORD DETAILS
II.
DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS TO ANALYSTS/DATA REVIEWERS
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
I BACKGROUND
1
II EVALUATION
4
III FINDINGS
------------------------------------
12
APPENDIX
I.
PROJECT RECORD DETAILS
II.
DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS TO ANALYSTS/DATA REVIEWERS
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
UNCLASSIFIED
LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE 1.
Number of Projects as a Function of type
FIGURE 2.
Data Categories
FIGURE 3.
Evaluation Scales
FIGURE 4.
Summary Data Evaluation Sheet --- Example
FIGURE 5.
Overall Data Correlations
FIGURE 6.
Overall Averages for all Project Types
FIGURE 7.
Expected Results for Approximately 70% Data
Accuracy --- Selected Personnel
UNCLASSIFIED
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
SECRET
SUN STREAK EVALUATION
PURPOSE:
(S/NF/SS-2)
Purpose of this report is to provide an
evaluation of the SUN
STREAK operational projects conducted
since 1986.
TOO MUCH SPACE.
SECRET
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
General Defense Intelligence
Program (GDIP)
I
BACKGROUND
(U)
(S/SF/SS-2)
SUN STREAK is an in-house
DIA project for
developing an operational psychoenergetics (i.e., remote viewing)
capability for the Intelligence Community.
Twelve/GDIP billets
were authorized for DIA in 1986 for this activity. Personnel
from the ARMY INSCOM CENTER LANE Project who had been examining
similar phenomenon were transferred to DIA to form the SUN STREAK
core group. DIA had earlier (1985) received operational control
from HQ DA for this 6-person Army unit.
Not
PREVIOUSLY
BAIKONSPOT
CAPS
ALREADY
BROKEN
GUT
where?
(PM)
(S/NF/SS-2)
In 1985, the DIA SUN STREAK Program Manager
prepared an Action Plan that:
(1) detailed the steps
necessary to transition the CENTER LANE unit to DIA; (2)
identified SUN STREAK staffing and support needs; and (3) set
forth key programmatic requirements for the SUN STREAK activity.
The Action Plan anticipated that the time required for achieving
a prototype operational capability would be approximately 3
years.
(S/NF/SS-2)
Key aspects of this Action Plan, along with
additional procedural information, were sent to congressional
committees in 1986. The IC staff was also briefed at this time
on the Action Plan and on anticipated SUN STREAK operational
development and data evaluation procedures.
(S/NF/SS-2)
Programmatic and operational requirements
LATITOLIZI
2
identified in the Action Plan were to: (1) gain special Access
Program (SAP) status (accomplished in March 1985);
(2) gain human
only
further.
use approval (granted in March 1985) ; (3) set up & Seniork
Oversight and a
Ttask Coordinating Committee) (accomplished
though not currently activated); (4) establish tight project
controls along with an automated data base management and records
system (accomplished); and (5) to establish an R/D link for
supporting operational capability development
(accomplished via
HQ SGRD funding and a DARPA MIPR).
(S/NF/SS-2)
The R/D link, via SRI International, has
yielded improved data evaluation procedures, has identified
potential personnel selection techniques, and has contributed to
training/development methods that are currently in project use.
The activity at SRI has received and continues to receive
extensive review by a 9-member peer review panel to insure that
scientific rigor is maintained in all their activities.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
LIST OF FIGURES
FIGURE 1.
Number of projects as a function of type
FIGURE 2.
Data Categories
FIGURE 3.
evaluation scales
7
Scheet
FIGURE 4.
summary data evaluation SHEET --- Example
FIGURE 5.
Overall data correlations
FIGURE 6.
Overall averages for all project types
FIGURE 7.
Expected results for approximately 70% data
accuracy --- selected personnel
Salicys
-
-
1
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
SUN STREAK EVALUATION
PURPOSE:
(S/NF/SS-2)
Purpose of this report is to provide an
evaluation of the SUN
STREAK operational projects conducted
since 1986.
BACKGROUND.
A
é
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
2.
EVALUATION TECHNIQUES
(U)
(S/NF/SS-2) Techniques used for evaluating the SUN STREAK
operational and simulated operational data base depend on the
nature of the task and type of project.
S/T projects are the
most difficult to evaluate.
This difficulty arises from the
general complexity existing at most S/T target sites, from
possible ambiguous aspects of known ground truth about the target
site, from the nature of the information desired, and in a few
cases, possibly from the remote viewing (RV) targeting method
employed.
It is easier to evaluate data on S/T targets if only a
single issue, such as presence or absence (of a particular
system, for example) is desired, then it is to evaluate how well
a viewers' detailed but possibly fragmentary description
correlates with aspects of a complex site.
In this case a
considerable amount of subjectivity can be involved in evaluating
the degree of data /target correlation.
(S/NF/SS-2) To assist in reducing overall subjectivity of
evaluating complex S/T targets, the viewers' data is examined and
compared to ground truth with several data categories in mind.
These categories are shown in Figure 2, and include geographic
descriptions, large and small scale objects, large and small
scale functions, personality data, and predictive data. Not all
these categories may be relevant to a specific project, and in
some cases may even be part of the RV targeting procedure used
(e. g., when a photo of target building is used as an RV targeting
reference for accessing its unknown contents) .
(S/NF/SS-2)
After identifying the appropriate data
category, the next step is to examine the viewers' raw (or
summarized) data for comparison to known or estimated ground
truth and to make a best judgement on what approximate degree of
data correlation actually exists.
Figure 3 defines the scale
ratings used along with their approximate degree of data
correlation.
(Appendix II contains detailed instructions for
analyst consideration when reviewing the data) .
(S/NF/SS-2) Final evaluations and summaries are prepared by
the Program Manager and/or his project representative (who is not
part of SUN STREAK staff) in conjunction with the responsible
system orArea Analyst or Intelligence Community point-of-
contact. Latest intelligence data and reports on that target
site are also reviewed during this process.
In some cases, area
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
CAPRIALIZE
2

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
Additional data analysis is, of course, performed to determine
how close to ground truth the data actually was.
This may be of
value in understanding how to conduct future projects of this
nature.
3.
EVALUATION RESULTS
(U)
(S/NF/SS-3) Overall data correlations for all SUN STREAK
operational and operational simulation projects performed since
1986 are shown in Figure 5. These results were obtained by
averaging the data entered on the Summary Data @valuation-sheets
for each project primarily for two data categories (i.e. large
scale and small scale object and function). The top lines on the
bar charts reflect data averages obtained from the proven or
experienced viewers. For some projects, especially some of the.
CN and CI projects, the distinction between large scale and small
scale is not clearcut; furthermore, this differentiation may not
be too important. For the predictive category and most of the CN
projects, data correlations were based mainly on a hit/miss
calculation.
CAPITALIZE
CINAME
OF
Report
FORM
(S/NF/SS-3) Figure 5 indicates that, on the average, data
from proven SUN STREAK viewers for S/T projects will tend to have
a 20 percent to 30 percent correlation with ground truth for
small scale targets, and a 30 percent to 50 percent correlation
with ground truth for large scale target features.
Likewise, for
CT or CN projects, about 20 percent to 50 percent of SUN STREAK
data would be expected to correlate with ground truth.
Caution
must be exercised in interpreting this data, however, since the
data
Dase with known ground truth is quite low in these
categories. ,For CI and Document Reading projects, SUN STREAK data
DOUBLE
SPACES
ISSTWETEN
shows a 40 percent to 60 percent correlation level with ground
truth; however the size of this data base is also quite low.
The
santos. Document Reading projects were. however, carefully isolated and
in a known or designated location.
Predictive data of the
complex event type (e.g., political /military situations) shows a
very low data correlation (i.e., reliability) of about 10 percent
or less.
(S/NF/SS-3)
If all SUN STREAK projects are averaged
together, as shown in Figure 6, data correlation would range from
about 20 percent for small scale aspects to about 40 percent for
large scale aspects. While "averaging" such data may indicate
overall results in the long run, such averaging tends to washout
those results that have singular high merit, such as the
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
analysts and the IC points-of-contact provide written appraisals
to assist in the final evaluation process.
These evaluations are
recorded on summary forms and are maintained in the Program
Manager's files.
(S/NF/SS-2)
An example of an S/T target evaluation is in
Figure 4. In this case the target site was
SG1A
SG1A
SG1A
SG1A
SG1C
SG1B
R
The project was completed in June 1987
(2 proven and 2 novice). In this
and involved four viewers
example, the bracket (
) indicates a best estimate of data
validity was made for that data category since ground truth is
not yet totally known for
A "dash"
means that data
category was not present in the viewers' data.
One of the
viewers (#101) attempted to describe the site 6 months in the
future. In this case,
the
Some of the
data categories (i.e., geographic features, large scale objects)
are not important from an intelligence data viewpoint since they
are known from conventional collection assets. However, the
viewers' data in these categories are included in the evaluation
for this project since they tend to provide confidence that other
(as yet unknown) details in the data may be correct.
(S/NF/SS-2)
A more sophisticated analysis methodology has
been recently developed by SRI for use in evaluating complex
projects.
This methods main advantage is that it allows
quantified estimates to be made for each and every data element
generated by the/v;
ewer with respect to both actual target
existence and importance.
This technique is currently being
examined for use in the SUN STREAK program and has been applied
to a few projects.
However, it is a labor intensive technique
that will probably be used only for select high interest projects
in the future.
(S/NF/SS-2)
Most of the other SUN STREAK project types do
not require a complex analysis methodology. For example, due to
the nature of what type of data is desired (and availability of
collection assets that can be cued), most of the CT, CN, or
predictive projects where ground truth is known can be evaluated
in a "black or white" manner.
The viewers' data, even if not
acted upon, either correlates with the subsequent location of the
fugitive or ship, or it does not.
The event predicted did, or
did not, happen. Thus, overall results for many of these
projects are simply a matter of counting hits and misses.
Hit
ratios or percentages of hits/misses form the basis of overall
data correlations made in this report for these typesof projects.
NOT
PREVIOUSLY
NOTED
AFTER
FULL
words
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
MOVE
APOSTROPHE
PITALIZE

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
identification several months in advance of a specific area in
the US where a fugitive was later found.
In this case, SUN
STREAK data was not acted upon; fortunately, the fugitive was
nevertheless abducted in this area due to the alertness of a
local law enforcement official.
KOHOLIS
SPACE
(S/NF/SS-3)
Another way of considering overall SUN STREAK
project data correlation is to consider only the proven viewers.
This data is shown in Figure 7, for times when these experienced
viewers received a 2 or 2+ in the numerical ratings assigned to
their data correlations.
Only two types of data are presented
here; S/T, and Personality() data as obtained from the various CT,
CN and CI projects. For S/T projects, proven viewers would be
expected to receive a high (i.e. approx. 70 percent) data
correlation rating on about 20 percent of the S/T projects
attempted. For Personality projects (i.e., background, state-of-
the-health, specific activities), around 50 percent to 60 percent
of the projects would yield high results.
Essentially, this
chart indicates certain strengths/weaknesses of the present SUN
STREAK staff and suggests that more projects on foreign or CI
target personalities are warranted.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
-

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
III
FINDINGS
(U)
(S/NF/SS-3)
Although the overall data correlations provided
in the previous section have; in some instances, have a low
overall average, the results are unique enough to warrant further
attention and continued SUN STREAK activity.
Even in the lowest
reliability case (i.e., predictive) , identification of even one
important future event out of ten could
in fact be highly
-
significant for cost or life saving.
These
"averages" do not do
justice to the single unique cases that cost little to act upon,
as in the case of the fugitive location cited in section 3.
(S/NF/SS-3) Specific findings that resulted from in-depth
review of the entire SUN STREAK data base include:
0
Individuals' performance correlates with project type.
This observation has already assisted in better task/person
matching, and overall data correlations would be expect
cted to
improve in the future.
DVIEWER
0
SUN STREAK has a distinct potential for direct
contribution to certain CI, CN and CT cases, as born out by
specific instances over
the past two years.
Predictive data is promising under certain conditions,
0
such as near term events or situations that do not involve
complex interactions.
0
S/T data, though having promise for select tasks, does
not yield parametric data.
0
SUN STREAK viewers work well under operational stress.
It may be that an environment of operational stress
generates a clear and immediate need.
This situation seems
to foster conditions that enables RV to function better.
o Obtaining highly reliable RV data and then applying it to
real operational projects is difficult.
However, it is
evident that continued work with RV data does result in
greater insight on how best to use RV data and on how best
to utilize RV talent available.
Thus, it is anticipated
that RV data utility will increase as experience of the SUN
STREAK team grows.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
APPENDIX I
PROJECT RECORD DETAILS
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
APPENDIX II
DETAILED INSTRUCTIONS TO ANALYST/DATA REVIEWERS
UNCLASSIFIED
CONTENTS
PURPOSE
i
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
(S/NF/SS-2) The basic approach employed by SUN STREAK
toward developing a prototype operational remote viewing (RV)
capability is to locate personnel with potential RV capability
and to develop these abilities via appropriate
achieved :
M
with
training/development procedures. Once satisfactory progress is)
neted on simple-to-verify training tasks, these individuals are
presentedwhovanced training and operational simulation targets.
Operational simulation targets are usually US military or US
scientific targets where ground truth is totally known or can be
readily determined.
Satisfactory performance on these tasks
qualify an individual for operational projects of interest to the
intelligence community. In many of the operational projects,
however, ground truth is usually not known (or is only partially
SENTENCE
HAS NO
VERTS,
known) .
Consequently, complete evaluation of the viewer's data
cannot be made until a later time when ground truth does become
available.
In the interim, reasonable estimates of the overall
validity of the viewer's data can be made for many of the
operational projects worked, based on what is generally known or
suspected about the target. These interim evaluation results are
updated whenever new ground truth is received.
(S/NF/SS-2) The operational projects pursued by SUN STREAK
are
approved by the Program Manager and are, in part, based on Nº1,
PREVIOUSLY
BROKEN
the
Program
Manager's familarity with (IC needs and on
OUT
TO SHOW
solicitation from others within the IC who have been briefed into
the SUN STREAK program.
WHAT
1C
MEANS.
1
OK Intelligence
community ( IC )
w
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
CAPS
(S/NF/SS-2)
The Evaluations performed for this report cover
all the operational and operational simulation projects
(approximately 200) that have been worked by SUN STREAK personnel
since 1986.
A few of the special operations called upon
consultants from the SRI talent pool.
These results are also
included in the overall evaluation.

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
II
EVALUATION
(U)
1.
DATA BASE
(U)
(S/NF/SS-2)
The SUN STREAK project maintains an extensive
record of all project activity.
Details include project timing,
people involved (i.e., viewers, interviewers, and possibly
observers), and a variety of other data considered essential for
good record keeping and for evaluating project results.
This
data, along with project summaries, are maintained in an
automated data base for convenient retrieval. Copies of project
summaries are also sent to the Program Manager for his review.
In addition, all raw data (i.e., sketches, viewer's notes) are
maintained in a separate file that is available for review and
analysis (Additional project record details are in appendix I).
HYPHEN
(S/NF/SS-2)
Evaluations conducted for this report involved
a complete reexamination of the entire SUN STREAK operational
data base.
Many of the earlier projects had only been partially
evaluated, or not evaluated at all, due to lack of suitable
ground truth at the time they were completed. These projects
were re-evaluated at this time to adjust for new intelligence
data that has since become available.
(S/NF/SS-2) For this evaluation, the data base was
subdivided into 6 main project types: (1) Scientific and
Technological (S/T); (2) Counterterrorist (CT) ; (3)
Counternarcotics (CN); (4) Counterintelligence (CI); (5) Document
Contents (Doc Cont); and (6) predictive (pred) .
Total projects
worked for these categories are shown in Figure 1.
(S/NF/SS-2)
Of the nearly 200 projects worked,
approximately one-half cannot be evaluated since ground truth is
not sufficiently known at this time. For approximately one-
fourth of the projects, ground truth is totally known (or highly
certain), and for the other one-fourth, ground truth is only
partially known but considered sufficient for making a reasonable
interim evaluation.
(S/NF/SS-2)
Some of these project categories can overlap.
For example, prediction data is also an aspect of most of the CN,
many of the CT and a few of the S/T projects.
The prediction
category in(figure 1 refers primarily to predictions of a
political/military nature. In future analysis, predictive data
will be evaluated as a separate aspect of the these project
Categories.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000700260001-6
CAPS