CIA-RDP96-00789R000200060003-1

Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000200060003-1.
9. sep82
063
[9 -16 Sep 87]
A period of feinting and maneuvering between ideological
antagonists.
Aircraft approach escorted groups and are chased
away.
Non-protected, non-escorted vessels subject to
interdiction, harassing activities and outright attacks.
A
small-boat/commando attack on a land facility on the west shore
a large body of water (the Gulf?) .
AOL/S impression of direct
aircraft interdiction of a military facility (AOL missile site)
somewhat inland on the eastern side of large body of water.
Impression of a helicopter crash resulting in
injuries/fatalities; body being hoisted from water.
Serious
damage to or destruction of a large maritime target located
indicated in sketch below -- approximately 2/3 of way through the
time window.
Impression is that the primary antagonist doesn't want to
directly provoke the escorting power; can't afford the
consequences direct provocation would bring, since loss of any
resources in such an unproductive manner would seriously affect
national
goals or well-being.
Intent is to keep escorting power
pushed to the line, but no further, trying to wear down ability
or desire to persist in current policy direction -- attacking and
wearing down low risk economic targets all around escorting
power, but leaving the power itself alone.
[17-24 Sep 1987]
AOL/s of aircraft exploding in air, impression of missile
contrail leading from afterdeck of surface vessel to aircraft.
Impression of a vessel rescuing people from water around another
vessel -- perhaps burning.
Doesn't seem to have been an escorted
vessel but an "object lesson" -- victimized in vicinity of
escorting and escorted vessels as form of intimidation.
Brief
impression of submarine; further impression of ships sitting idly
because of admin or bureaucratic holdup.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000200060003-1

.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000200060003-1
Sep 87
013
Site involves impression of a large white, red and black
seagoing vessels attempting to execute a wide turn to avoid some
threat.
This threat seemed to have something to do with the air
or aircraft.
Something is fired at the vessel, missing it, to be
followed by an additional firing which strikes, causing smoke and
an extremely large explosion.
Vessel ceases its forward motion,
people are perceived leaving it rapidly.
Further impression of
grey, smaller vessel performing actions that seem aggressive in
nature, perhaps involving the discharge of weapons, with a slight
sense of defense.
A later incident, which seems to occur in the
last week of the month involves another grey vessel, AOL/S
warship attempting to counter apparent belligerent actions
directed at it from both the air and from small, darting, quick
surface craft.
Impression of some damage to the grey vessel, but
also to the air and surface threats directed against it as well.
AOL/S impression of location of this incident is as below:
Unrelated AOL or AOL/S impression.
Concept of a potential
violent activity aimed/directed at the Pope during his visit to
the U.S.
Impression of turmoil/disturbance in a crowd in front
of a raised open-air area with steps to the front and side.
Sudden perception of consternation/shock/disbelief on the face of
someone apparently connected with the entourage. No indication
that the Pope himself is directly affected or impacted by this
potential violent act.
There is some suggestion of an injury to
someone's hand in connection with this incident.
Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789R000200060003-1