CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6

Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6
SECRET/NOFORN
PROJECT SUN STREAK
WARNING NOTICE: INTELLIGENCE SOURCES AND METHODS INVOLVED
PROJECT NUMBER:
8813
SESSION NUMBER:
08
DATE OF SESSION:
6 OCT 88
DATE OF REPORT:
OCT 88
START:
1020
END:
1115
METHODOLOGY :
WRV
VIEWER IDENTIFIER:
074
1.
(S/NF /SK)
MISSION:
Update topical searches conducted to
date.
Attempt to determine which continue to be relevant, of
continuing interest and potentially actionable.
2.
(S/NF/SK)
VIEWER TASKING:
Conduct review of results to
date.
Determine those issues whose ratio of probability is
increased as the "real time" event (s) takes place.
3.
(S/NF/SK)
COMMENTS:
No inclemencies noted.
A record of topical
searches will be made in the form of a listing with the date of
search, the so-called forecast, and extent of ground truth known
in real time.
Topical searches resulting in high potential for
real time occurrence will be pursued in detail
as if they were
actionable.
4.
(S/NF/SK): EVALUATION:
HANDLE VIA SKEET CHANNELS ONLY
SECRET/NOFORN
CLASSIFIED BY:
DIA
(DT)
DECLASSIFY:
OADR
Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6

Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6
SECRET
WORKING PAPER
8813
079
OCT 88
S: 08
SUMMARY OF INFORMATION
There appears a high likelihood for an incursion of Thailand
by a Laotian force of about 500 personnel during the time frame
estimated as ranging from 30 October 1988 to 3 November 1988.
The area of incursion is described as an area marked by Botene,
Laos, and Phitsanulok, Thailand.
See ENCLOSURE 1.
During the period of October through December 1988 a surge of
unrest directed against the (US/Japanese) military defense
establishment will follow a predictable pattern.
Students will
demonstrate and manifest in about October 1988.
Military-related
industrialists will be the butt of similar demonstrations.
And
in December 1988, Red Army factions will target what was
described as a predominantly US (used?) naval base located in the
Vicinity of Iwaki
(ENCLOSURE 2) .
Access to the facility would
reportedly be gained via an associated military air facility
located immediately west of the naval base.
[Previous reporting
of 25 August 1988, indicated an intent of a small group of
personnel to crash through a gate in several automobiles].
Uprising in Papua New Guinea that are somehow racially motivated
occur in November 1988.
The high probability of a "coup d'etat" foreseen to occur in
South Korea remains valid; it will be addressed in a separate and
subsequent session.
SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6

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Kamiiso?
Pt. Esan
Kikonsi Q-
Hakodate
28°
28º
Sagami
Miura
Toriyama
A
0
F
c. TapPIA
Mutsu
Bay
Nishino
130°
Ajigasawa/ OGoshogawara
GAomor Misawa
Chichi
KYUSHU a
Makurazaki
KIRISHIMA- YAKU
S. Satas
Nishinoomote?
Tunega
A
Iwaizumi
OJ RIKUCHU-
D
NAT'L PARK
Osumi Is.
Akitao
Morioka Le NAT'L
26º
26°
E
30º
Honjob
Kamaishi
(KAZAN-RETTO)
3.0
Tobia
OYuzawa
YOfunato
S
U Suwanose
P
A
N
Tsuruokaa
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O
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loOnagawa
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BANDAI.
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2
Ryatsu
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Alkawa 6 dry
Agang
KaminoyamaO
0
0
A
Amami-O-Shima
28
Wajima
Kashiwazaki
Nagaoka
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.
1
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HAT'L PARK
OKuroiso
Hakuilo
Shirone 8.458 H
"OOtawara
-
Himl O Uozu
EXOGEN
Igntoi 8,150 !!
OKitaibaraki
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1269
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1,995 ft. (600 m.)
Kaga.O
Matsumoto
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KogaO
Tsuchiura qishłoka
N
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NAT'L
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S
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110
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206.283 ft.(1915 m.
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01
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Kushimetal
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KyotoD/Otsu
Pt. Muroto.
ONDSB
&Muko
Yokawa
Nagaokaky@O
Shimamoto
S AKISHIMA
Japan and Korea
32º
CONIC PROJECTION
SCALE OF MILES
E
F
0
100
150
Akash
[Osaka Higashiosaka,
P
50
LOC
150
200
250
300
Capitals of Countries
Ąwaļi
Tondabayashi
takada
Capitals of Prefectures
Olzum!
Gosao Kashihara
Same scale as main map
International Boundaries
Kaizuks 6ºKishiwada
OKawachinagang
Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA-RDP96-00789R00340053000,16AMONG INCORPORATIO. M.plan ~|
300
G
136°
H Longitude 1382 Fast of J Greenwich 140°
K
142º
L
144°
146°
N
148°
0
y
1
44º
Plastuno~
E . Dal'niy
Mombetsu
SHIRETOKO
NAT'L PARK
Kunashir
Haboro
Nayoro
Rausu
CHADB shiny
Shikotan
Shibetsuc
(1558 m.)
UShari
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YShibetsu
Takikawad 6 Fukagaway
DAIFETSU-ZAN
Pt. Nosappu
Tokorozawa
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C. Kamui
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sie Olwamizawa
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(OGASAWARA-GUNTO)
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A
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(1640 m.)Iwaki& · Hirosaki Towada
Iwasaki @9,381 H.
2
TOWADA-HACHIMANTAI NAT'L PARK
Odateo
7
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A
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MACHIHANTAI Iwate
T. MAT'L PARK/36,698 ft.
KAICAN
4
Tazawad
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E
Omono
Hanamaki PARK
VOLCANO ISLANDS
Kuchinoq
:
(2230 m.)
Ichinoseki
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matsup
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Nota
6,289 ff.
": Sukagawa 3,914 fr. (1193 m.)
O Shirakawa
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Shinano
12484 m.
Hitsunomiya
Itachiota
Katsula
F
Nakaminato
@ Yoron
Mrkunt HokoTakayama
8.865 HA/HAKUSAN
WOkayaQOCHICHIBU.
Suwsol
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PANK MI, Wakasa Bay
Motobu Nago OKINAWA
N
C
Okinawa
ISLANDS
265
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A
kunoo
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O
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Shizuoka
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e
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ureda
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A
C
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128º
130°
Ishignki () Tarama
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C
.
F
O Miki
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SETQNAIXAI Takarazukaº
NAT'L PARK
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A
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Takalshis
10MI Bay
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0
'O Sakurai
Kimje 221.414
Suwon 224.145
C5
.G4
85
84
C4
Baktu (Paektu) {mt.)
C3
Andong 95.364
05
Changjin (res.)
C3
Ansong 27.723
C5
Kongļu 39.756
Oisong 26.480
05
Korea (str )
.08
Naktong (ny ) .
DG
07
Huch'ang
Hoich'on
G4
Changsông 26.266
.C6
Kwangju 607,011
C6
Ulsan 252.570
06
C3
Pyongyang (cap ] 1,200,000
Sariwon
Sinbiju 300.000
B4
Yellow (sea)
Inch'on 800.007
fri 117.155
C5
C6
Seoul (cap ) 6.889.502
Sokch'o 71.387
C5
0
[ist.)
East China (sea)
Halla (ml )
Han (riv.)
E5
C8
.C7
C5
K3
K2
HS
06
×3
Chongju
Haeju 140.000
Hamhùng 484.000
Hero (P'yongyang)
(cap | 1 250,000
84
Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA REP96-00789R003400530001-6
Japan (sea)
Kanghwa (bay)
Kebang (mt )
D5
SEA OF OKHOTSK
KURIL IS.
Iturup
bryn1
Yubetsu
Nemuro Str.
OARCO
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Kawa-OS
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MAT'L PARK
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G Yubarı
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Obihiro O -olkeda
a Sudzukh
C. Ostraunoy
At-
Sagami-
Kariba
MAT'L PARK
ARK
9 Naboribetsu
Sams scale as main map
Chigagaki"
Fujisawa
Kamakuray
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asuka
1190
3
C. Shiraga mi
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N
Haha
Hanawa
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oj Mizusawa?'
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O
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C
-
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A
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10.049 11.
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10,472 f. (3192 m
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1 NAT'L PARK 12,389 ft. Odawara
A
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Youking
RU
6.41 4 H.
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1
24º
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C
SCALE OF KILOMETERS
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0
8
AN
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N
Onora Kawaguchi -TOKYO C /
Kawasakio
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a
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Amagasaki Nara
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~ lovohashi
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ISLANDS
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SEI
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O
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5
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Aizuwaka- - bondgi 5,968 ft.[1819 m.]
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ASANY
Yonezawa
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( (3190 m.110.466 1 TUedad
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SG1A
Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6
Approved For Release 2003/01/09 : CIA-RDP96-00789R003400530001-6