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CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9

Opens with: KEY INTELLIGENCE TASK (91008)

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6 pages, machine transcribed from the CIA’s released scan.

SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/09/11 CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
KEY INTELLIGENCE TASK (91008)
(S/NF/LIMDIS)
Will there be any significant terrorist activity in
the near future (20 Jan 91 >< 1 Feb 91) .
..
( S/NF/LIMDIS)
Source a Assessment (DOI: 21 Jan 91) :
a.
No significant terrorist activity is expected
through 31 Jan 91.
b.
A large city (probably London) may experience
terrorist activity after 31 Jan 91.
c.
Terrorist activity will probably spread to the US,
though use of chemical devices are not anticipated.
Initial targets could involve nuclear power plants and
possibly nuclear storage/development areas.
(S/NF/LIMDIS)- Source B Assessment (DOI: 08 Jan 91) :
A large European city is a likely target in
this time frame.
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Source C Assessment (DOI;
22 Jan 91):
a. The New York City area is being planned for terrorist
attack in the near future. Location is near or in a
major hotel or theatre, (e.g. ABBOTT? ) during a gala
event or some type of award ceremony. A name like.
"THEODORE"
associated with a leftist PLO group is
involved.
Other long-term terrorist target intentions could
include:
-
Shell Oil Company headquarters (Houston,
TX) .
Aerospace companies probably in New Mexico.
Shopping malls throughout Us
Some attacks may be made against nuclear
power plants in an attempt to cause them to
"melt down".
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SECRET
Approved For Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
APPENdix C
1
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Approved For Release 2003/09/11
CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
(S/NF/LIMDIS)
Source D Assessment (DOI :
21 Jan 91) :
a. Cargo ships are rigged with H.E., gas-type explosives
(probably in, or soon in, UK, US harbors) .
b.
Israel delegation to UN is main personnel target.
c.
A large hotel in Paris is targeted.
d.
School areas of Germany are targeted (Wiesbaden,
Augsburg) .
e. Greece and Italian military areas and city. location
are targeted (via common delivery trucks) .
f.
NY and DC areas are targeted (main access probably
via waterways) .
DC (Congress area, probably via large
truck) .
g.
General impressions:
-
Iraq has several dirty nuclear devices and
may use them in Kuwait or possibly Israel .area
(via ships, large commercial planes) .
Some missiles/aircraft may be stored in
Jordan within 60 miles of Iraq border.
- Iraq will start oil well fires (in Kuwait
and off shore) in the near future.
-
CW/BW explosives will be "left behind" in
event of retreat from Kuwait.
A considerable amount of Iraq "spotters"
have infiltrated S. Arabia, Egypt for aid in
target location, terrorist strikes.
Libya will assist Iraq via cw equipment and
mine deployment.
(S/NF/LIMDIS)
Source E Assessment
(DOI: 17 Jan 91) :
a. Hussein has placed CW/BW devices on various cargo or
empty oil tankers that are (or will be) in various
worldwide ports.
b. Hussein does have a few "dirty" nuclear devices that
he plans to move via ships, trucks to various worldwide
locations.
c.
Libya will soon join in the conflict (probably via
NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS
LIMITED DIApaioVadOfbr Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
·
Approved For Release 2003/09070A-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
terrorist support), and will also play a role in attack
of US ships in the Red Sea or Mediterranean Sea area.
d. Jordan, or possibly Iran, amy also have an emerging
role in future support of Iraqi activities ..
e.
Terrorist activity will be coordinated worldwide.
Leading target areas are:
- Water supplies, food source.
- Oil fields or supply lines.
.
f.
In general:
-
Iraq may consider attacking allied ship in
the Gulf and Red Sea. This may involve
coordinated air, ship and possibly missile
attack with Libyan and Iranian assistance.
:
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Approved For Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
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Qiyapproved For Release 2903/09/F . CIA-BDP99-00789R002900260084-9
AWAY VIEW OF
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BURIED RUAREP96-00789R002900260004-9
(3 LEVELS, 4 COMPONENTS)
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pproved For Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
SG1A
Approved For Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
Approved For Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9

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