CIA-RDP96-00788R001200110002-6

Approved For Release 2000/08/07 : CIA-RDP96-00788R001200110002-6
01
FROM
HQ WPAFB OH/TQTR
TO:
SSO ACSI DA
INFO IIQ USAF WASH DC/INA
Z JUL 78
SECRET
SUBJECT :
SPECIAL ANALYSIS STUDY (U)
REFERENCE :
ACSI MSG, DID 262015Z JUN 78
i. (U)
PASS TO MAJ STONER (ACSI) : LTC M BLOOM (USAF/INYS)
2. (C) THIS MESSAGE IS IN RESPONSE TO COMMENTS REQUESTED IN
THE REFERENCED MESSAGE RELATING TO PARAPHYSICS TOPICS. REPLY
HAS BEEN LIMITED TO THOSE QUESTIONS RELEVANT TO FTD'S PROGRAM
WITH THE STANFORD RESEARCH INSTITUTE (SRI) .
3. (S) PAST, PRESENT AND FUTURE PLANS :
A. FTD'S PREVIOUS EFFORT IN THIS AREA OF INVESTIGATION
HAS BEEN PREVIOUSLY SUPPLIED IN THE FY77 FINAL REPORT TITLED
ADVANCED THREAT TECHNIQUE ASSESSMENT (SRI 7-4375). A FINAL
REPORT ON RECENT WORK WILL BE AVAILABLE BY THE END OF JULY AND
WILL BE PROVIDED AT THAT TIME.
B. AT PRESENT, FTD PLANS TO PURSUE THOSE BASIC OBJECTIVES
OUTLINED IN THE REFERENDED WORK STATEMENT (PARA
4).
MA IN
ORIENTATION IS TO EVALUATE OR SIMULATE USSR RESEARCH ACHIEVEMENTS
(OR CLAIMS), AND TO EXAMINE FEASIBILITY OF COMMUNICATION AND
REMOTE VIEWING POTENTIAL. THERE IS NO INTENT IN THE FTD PROGRAM
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buske
TO PURSUE RESEARCHI
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detours, NOR TO ATTEMPT DEVELOP-
MENT OF SPECIFIC APPLICATIONS. FTD'S CURRENT CONTRACT WITH THE
STANFORD RESEARCH INSTITUTE EXTENDS THROUGH MAY 1979.
C. FTD HAS SUPPORTED THESE, BASIC INVESTIGATIONS WITH
THE STANFORD RESEARCH INSTITUTE (SRI) SINCE 1976. SRI'S WORK
TO DATE HAS GREATLY BENEFITED FTD'S ASSESSMENT OF WARSAW PACT
RESEARCH IN THIS AREA, BOTH IN EVALUATING ASPECTS OF FOREIGN
RESEARCH DATA, AND IN PROVIDING INSIGHT INTO THIS FIELD IN
GENERAL. THERE MAY NOT BE A CLEAR NEED FOR FTD TO CONTINUE SUCH
SUPPORT TO SRI IN THE FUTUREA HOWEVER, FTD MAY ELECT TO SUPPORT
OTHER ASPECTS OF PARAPHYSICS INVESTIGATIONS WITH OTHER LABORATORIES.
SUCH SUPPORT COULD POTENTIALLY BE TO EVALUATE ENERGETICS-TYPE
phenomena
ODGERVANCE AND RELATED PHYSIOLOGICAL ISSUES (EFFECT OF MAGNETIC
..
FIELDS, OR LOW FREQUENCY FIELDS, ETC.)
WHERE ASSISTANCE IN
EVALUATING THE USSR RESEARCH WOULD BE REQUIRED.
4. (S)
WORK STATEMENT: FTD'S WORK STATEMENT TO SRI, TITLED
"ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT, IS SUMMARIZED AS FOLLOWS:
A.
PURPOSE :
B.
BACKGROUND:
c.
ANALYTICAL APPROACH:
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EXHIBIT "A"
Purchase Request Nr
1.0 (U) TITLE:
Advanced Technology Assessment
2.0 (S) PURPOSE:
To provide a basis for assessing application potential of an advanced
technology that is assessed to be under development in the USSR. This
study would assist in FTD's evaluation of relevent intelligence data, would
help identify key development trends and technical parameters, and would
help in assessing feasibility of particular advanced threat related
applications.
-3.0 (S)
BACKGROUND:
A continuing technical intelligence responsibility for FTD is to
· provide intelligence consumers, and US R/D consumers, with the highest
quality assessment of USSR capabilities in various threat areas, especially
in advanced technologies that could eventually lead to future technological
surprise. These potential threats could be based on conventional techno-
logy with unique applications, or on totally new or noval techniques that
could be at the frontiers of technological art-state. This study would
fill a critical gap in the understanding and assessment of application
feasibility of a potential advanced threat. This effort would directly
support FTD's continuing evaluation for a new DIA threat study (Paraphysics
R/D-Warsaw Pact), and would support certain advanced communication and
advanced sensor assessments in general.
C'-4.0 (S) ANALYTICAL APPROACH:
(!) 4.1 The contractor will develop theoretical models, perform appropriate
technical analysis, and provide capability assessments based on appropriate
investigation and experimental procedures.
(2) 4.2 Contractor assessments will emphasize the particular advanced para-
physics technology having military potential. The assessment will examine
numerous variables that have an influence on biases, reliability and accuracy.
Basic investigations in this general topic will address advanced communica-
tion potential, and advanced remote sensor potential. The contractor shall
develop an appropriate theoretical basis that provides insight on possible
countermeasures. Theroetical investigations shall be directed toward resolu-
tion of probable paraphysics transmission modes.
Investigations involving use
of shielded facilities should assist in evaluating electromagnetic aspects
(e.g., in the ELF region). Other investigations based on holographic models
shall also be considered.
SRI Registr SR1 54218 Project # 1Su 75-23
MISLIMED ON DA DECEMBER Alibration by the Originator
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3.4.3 Study findings that indicate feasibility of various potential
applications, or that provide insight into theoretical models, should be
made available to FTD or soon as possible. Evaluation of results from applica-
tion investigations will be performed by FTD according to mutually acceptable
protocol and will be included as part of the final report. The contractor will
also develop appropriate statistical methods for assessing degree of success
of such experimental investigations. These methodologies would also be
applicable to assessing similar investigations reported in the foreign literature.
4. 4.4 All significant details of contractor study scope, planning, proposed
analyses technique, proposed evaluation protocol and procedures, and personnel
involved will be evaluated by FTD. Should any unforeseen deviation occur, FTD
will be notified immediately. Changes in work priority may be directed by FTD
at any time during the contractual year should such action be considered
necessary. Additional details on study objectives, procedures, and other
details are included in a separate detailed task work statement.
5.0 CLEARANCE REQUIREMENTS:
5.1 Personnel: . Top Secret.
5.2 Storage Capability: |Secret ...
6.0
Preliminary draft of study.
Draft copy of study.
$.4
Final report.
SG1J
7.0 FD TECHNICAL MONITOR:
2
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SECRET
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5. (S)
IN-HOUSE RESEARCH
A. THERE COULD BE SEVERAL ADVANTAGES TO PURSUING IN-HOUSE
RESEARCH, DEPENDING ON ITS SPECIFIC OREINTATI ON. IT MAY BE
POSSIBLE SOME GOVERNMENT FACILITIES HAVE EQUIPMENT WHICH IS
APPROPRIATE FOR EVALUATING AND
IDENTIFYING PHYSIOLOGICAL parameters that
might correlate to psychoenergetic
FUNCTIONING; OR THAT SOME FACILITIES HAVE EQUIPMENT SUITABLE
FOR RESOLVING (IN PART) CERTAIN THEORETICAL ISSUES. LABORATORIES
WITH EEG EQUIPMENT (OR OTHER PHYSICLOGICAL INSTRUMENTS) AND.
ELECTROMAGNETICALLY SHIELDED ROOMS, COULD POTENTIALLY ASSIST
IN RESEARCH ON SOME ISSUES. IN ADDITION, LABORATORIES WITH
SIMILAR EQUIPMENT MIGHT EXIST IN THE VARIOUS SERVICES, WHICH
COULD FACILITATE EXPERIMENTS WHERE INFLUENCE OF DISTANCE IS TO BE
EXAMINED. THERE ARE NUMEROUS POSSIBILITIES; THESE ARE BUT A
FEW EXAMPLES.
B. ANOTHER ADVANTAGE OF IN-HOUSE RESEARCH/ WOULD BE IN
PURSUIT OF PARTICULAR APPLICATIONS AND IN SELECTION OF SUBJECTS.
IT MAY BE THAT PEOPLE WHO CAN PERFORM WELL IN CERTAIN PSYCHOENERGETIC
TASKS (SUBJECTS) ARE ALREADY EMPLOYED WITHIN GOVERNMENT FACILITIES.
DRAWING ON SUCH AVAILABLE RESOURCES COULD SIMPLIFY SUBJECT
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RECRUITMENT AND ALSO ENHANCE SECURITY ASPECTS, ESPECIALLY IF THE
SUBJECTS HAVE SOME LEVEL OF CLEARANCE.
C. IN ADDITION, PURSUIT OF CERTAIN TYPES OF APPLICATIONS MIGHT
-
BEST BE PERFORMED IN-HOUSE BY A GOVERNMENT AGENCY. COMMUNICATES
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MODES, FOR EXAMPLE, MAY REQUIRE A COMMITTMENT WHERE THE SAME
SUBJECTS WORK TOGETHER FOR A LONG TIME PERIOD. ALSO, CERTAIN
APPLICATIONS, INVOLVING INFORMATION ACCESS APPLICATIONS,
ALSO APPEAR TO REQUIRE A LONG-TERM COMMITTMENT.
THIS MAY
BE DIFFICULT TO AQLEVE (AND CONTROL) VIA EXTERNAL SOURCES.
D.
HOWEVER, DUE TO THE SENSATIONAL NATURE OF THIS AREA
OF RESEARCH THERE ARE ALSO SOME DISADVANTAGES, CONSIDERABLE EFFORT
WOULD BE REQUIRED IN KEEPING EVEN THE KNOWLEDGE ABOUT POTENTIAL
IN-HOUSE ACTIVITY UNDER TIGHT CONTROL. THIS WOULD ALSO BE
TRUE FOR ANY EXTENSIVE EXTERNAL RESEARCH. ONE APPROACH MIGHT BE
TO OPENLY ACKNOWLEDGE THAT SOME OF THIS RESEARCH IS BEING
PURSUED.
THIS RESEARCH COULD CERTAINLY BE QUALIFIED AND PRESENTED
IN THE CONTEXT EXPLOTATORY OR BASIC RESEARCH> AND IN TIME ITS
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SENSATIONAL TREATMENT WOULD VERY LIKELY LESSEN.
E.
IN SUMMATION, IT APPEARS ASPECTS OF THIS RESEARCH MIGHT BE
AMEANABLE FOR IN-HOUSE INVESTIGATIONS. IT ALSO APPEARS THAT A
JOINT-SERVICE OR DOD-WIDE EFFORT COULD BE ULTIMATELY INVOLVED.
6.
(S)
PROPOSED RESEARCH APPROACH
A.
PARTICULAR RESEARCH APPROCHES IN PSYCHOENERGETICS WOUED
DEPEND UPON THE MAIN OBJECTIVES. THERE ARE AT LEAST THREE BASIC
RESEARCH DIRECTIONS; THAT WHICH PURSUES APPLICATIONS; THAT DIRECTED
TOWARD UNDERSTANDING OF THES PHYSICAL BASIS FOR THE PHENOMENA; AND
THAT ORIENTED TOWARD PHYSIOLOGICAL AND PSYCHOLOGICAL ISSUES. ALL
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RESOL
THESE OVERLAP, HOWEVER, AND CANNOT BE READILY SEPARATED.
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OF THEORETICAL AND PSYCHOLOGICAL ISSUES COULD ENHANCE APPLICATION
(I.E., IMPROVE RELIABILITY, REPEATABILITY) ; PURSUIT
OF SPECIFIC
APPLICATIONS COULD ALSO ADD INSIGHT ON SOME THEORETICAL ISSUES
hat
HOWEVER, IT MAY BE A WIDE VARIETY OF EXPERIMENTS NEED TO BE
<
CONDUCTED IN ORDER TO EXAMINE AS MANY VARIABLES AS POSSIBLE. IT
ALSO APPEARS BOTH THE INFORMATIONAL ASPECTS AND THE ENERGETIC
ASPECTS BE PURSUED, SINCE THE UNDERLYING PRINCIILES MAY BE
THE SAME FOR BOTH TYPES OF PHENOMENA.
B. REGARDLESS OF SPECIFIC RESEARCH DIRECTIONS, SPECIFIC
RESEARCH SHOULD BE BASED ON SOUND SCIENTIFIC METHODOLOGIES.
IT MAY BE APPROPRIATE EVALAUTION METHODS ARE ALSO REQUIRED SO
THAT RESULTS OF THIS RESEARCH CAN BE EVALUATED
-----
PROPERLY
C. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT PEQUIREMENT OF THIS RESEARCH IS TO
ESTABLISH A POOL OF SUBJECTS THAT ARE CONSISTANT HIGH PERFORMERS AT
A VARIETY OF PARANORMAL TASKS, OTHERWISE, MOST EXPERIMENTS WOULD
YIELD RESULTS NOT SIGNIFICANTLY GREATER THAN CHANCE, AND UNDERLYING
PRINCIPLES COULD NOT BE IDENTIFIED. WITH HIGH PERFORMING SUBJECTS,
EFFECTS OF MANY TEST VARIABLES (PHYSICAL, PSYCHOLOGICAL., ETC)
COULD BE STUDIES IN A CONSISTANT MANNER. METHODS FOR TRAINING AND
ENHANCING PERFORMANCE SHOULD ALSO BE INVESTIAGTED SINCE THIS SHOULD
LEAD TO BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF THE PSYCHOLOGICAL ASPECTS.
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D.
THERE ARE MANY THEORETICAL ISSUES THAT COULD BE EXAMINED,
AND NUMEROUS EXPERIMENTS COULD BE CONDUCTED THAT MIGHT INDICATE
THE PHYSICAL BASIS OF THIS PHENOMENA.
EXPERIMENTS FOR RESOLVING
if
THE PHENOMENA IS ELECTORMAGNETIC IN NATURE COULD INVOLVE
SUBMARINE OR SPACE PLATFORMS, OR EXPERIMENTS CONDUCTED IN PRESENCE
OF APPROPRIATE NOISE.
EXPERIMENTS TO DETERMINE HOW SMALL
TS
TARGETS CAN BE ALSO IMPACE ON THE ELECTROMAGNETICS ISSUES (DATA
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RATE OR RESOLUTION)
.AND MAY
RE FUNDAMENTAL ISSUES
(HOLOGRAPHIE CONCERTS).
ATTEMPTS TO INFLUENCE SENSITIVE EQUIPMENT
(FILM, LIQUID CRYSTALS, MAGNETOMETERS, OTHER) COULD ALSO HELP
IDENTIFY BASIC MECHANISMS (DIRECT OR INDIRECT). EXPERIMENTS TO
NO
Holographic concepts, or
TEST GRAVITATIONAL MODELS, NEUTRION MODELS, OR VARIOUS QUANTUM
pursued
L
MECHANICAL MODELS COULD ALSO BE CONSTRUCTED.
E. OTHER FACTORS OF IMPORTANCE ARE EFFECT OF TARGET SIZE
AND DISTANCE FROM THE SUBJECT. SUCH EXPERIMENTS COULD INDICATE
ACCURACY LIMITS, IF ANY. ANOTHER ISSUE TO RESOLVE IS THE ROLE OF
OTHER PEOPLE IN AN EXPERIMENTAL SETTING, MED PARTICULARLY.
the
OF ALL -TETEST WHEN INTENDED TARGET MATERIAL IS NOT KNOWN BY ANYONE.
THIS LATTER CASE APPLIES TO HIDDEN TARGETS OR POSSIBLY TO TARGETS
il.
OUT OF PROFER TIME SEQUENCE (EX; PRECOGNITION) .
F.
OTHER SUGGESTIONS FOR RESEARCH HAVE ALREADY BEEN PROVIDED ]
J
ADDITIONAL VIEWS CAN BE
YOUR OFFICE (FTD MSG DTD 051644Z FUN 78) .
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PROVIDED IF DESIRED.
7. (S)
DEMONSTRATION FOR DR LABERGE :
IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED
THAT DR LABERGE OBSERVE A DEMONSTRATION OF A REMOTE VIEWING EXPERIMENT.
THIS WILL ACQUAINT HIM WITH EXPERIMENTAL PROTOCAL AND PROVIDE AN
APPRECIATION FOR HOW THIS MODE IS PRECEIVED BY THE SUBJECTS.
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SUGGEST SEVERAL EXPERIMENTS INVOLVING THOSE THE SUBJECT IS
COMFORTABLE WITH, AS WELL AS SOME DEFINED AND CONTROLLED BY
DR LABERGE. THESE COULD INVOLVE EXPERIMENTS WITH DR LABERS IN
GE
THE WASHINGTON AREA AND SUBJECTS ELSEWHERE.
8. (S) EXPERIMENTS TO DETERMINE PRESENCE OR ABSENCE OR MISSILES
IN SILOS.
A. THIS TYPE OF EXPERIMENT IS SIMPLER IN PRINCIPLE THAN
and
al
EXPERIMENTS WHERE EXTENSIVE DETAIL AD RELATIVE SPATICAL RELATION-
SHIPS ARE DESIRED. IDENTIFYING PRESENCE OR ABSENCE OR TARGET AREA
already
ELEMENTS HAS BEEN EXAMINED IN THE FTD PROGRAM. IN THESE EXPERIMENTS,
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THE OBJECTIVE WAS TO EVALUTE FEASIBILITY OF USING REMOTE VIEWING
IN A BASIC COMMUNICATION MODE, WITH BASIC MESSAGES PRE-RESABLISHED
FOR EACH TARGET AREA CATAGORY (OR DICHOTOMY) . RESULTS WERE EN-
COURAGING AND SUGGESTED THIS COLD BE A VIABLE APPLICATION.
ANOTHER SERIES OF EXPERIMENTS EXAMINED FEASIBILITY OF DETERMINING
PRESENCE OR ABSENCE OF "EVENTS". A MINUTEMAN STAGE I STATIC-TEST
EVENT WAS THE DESIRED TARGET. RESULTS WERE ALSO ENCOURAGING IN
THAT AN EVENT WAS SENSED AT THE APPROPRIATE TIME, ALTHOUGH THE SPECIFIC
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NATURE OF THE EVENT COULD NOT BE DETERMINED BY THE SUBJECT.
B. IF THEREFORE APPEARS THAT EXPERIMENTS TO DETERMINE PRESENCE
OR ABSENCE OF MISSILES IN A SILO, FOR EXAMPLE, COULD BE ATTEMPTED.
feasible.
HOWEVER, THE METHOD USED FOR LOCATING THE INTENDED TARGET AREA
MIGHT PSOE SOME DIFFICULTY.
PRELIMINARY EXPERIMENTS, USING SIMILAR
ACCESSABLE TARGETS (EMPTY OR FULL FUEL CONTAINERS, ETC) SHOULD
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BE PURSUED TO EVALUATE BASIC POTENTIAL OF THIS APPLICATION OBJECTIVE.
SUBSEQUENT EXPERIMENTS TO RESOLVE THE LOCATOR PROBLEM FOR ACTUAL
ION
---
.
TARGETS COULD THEN BE ATTEMPTED, PERHAPS USING ACTUAL US SILOS AS
TARGETS. THE USE OF AERIAL PHOTOS, OR COORDINATES, MIGHT BE
METHODS EMPLOYED FOR TARGETING ON REMOTE SILOS.
XGDS-2 DEC 08
DRAFTED BY
TQTR, 76351, 10 JULY 1978
SG1J
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