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i Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 utre Vol. 251 October 18 1974 Vol. 251 No. 5476 October 18, 1974 Published weekly by Macmillan Journals Ltd London 4 Little Essex Street, WC2R 3LF Telephone: (01) 836 6633 Telex: 262024 Telegrams: Phusis London WC2R 3LF Washington 1[1 National Press Building, DC 20045 Telephone: (202) 737 2355 Telex: 64280 Editor David Davies Deputy Editor Roger Woodham Editorial staff Gillian Boucher Colin Norman" John Gribbin Sally Owen John Hall Allan Piper Eleanor Lawrence Miranda Robertson "Mary Lindley Fiona Selkirk Peter Milford Robert Vickers Peter Newmark Mary Wade* John Wilson *Washington office Publishing Director Jenny Hughes Display advertisement enquiries to: London Office Classified advertisement enquiries to: T. G. Scott and Son Ltd, 1 Clement's Inn, London WC2A 2ED Telephone: (01) 242 6264 and (01) 405 4743 Telegrams: Textualist London WC2A 2ED Subscription enquiries to: Macmillan Journals Ltd, Brunel Road, Basingstoke, Hants; RG21 2XS Telephone: Basingstoke 29242 Publication address in the United States The Wm Byrd Press Inc., 2901 Byrdhill Road, Richmond, Virginia 23228 Second Class Postage for the USA paid at Richmond, Virginia US Postmaster, please send form 3579 to Nature, 711 National Press Building, Washington DC 20045 Price £22 per year-excepting USA and Canada (£28 per year) Registered as a newspaper at the British Post Office Copyright Macmillan Journals Ltd, October 18, 1974 Cover Picture A hundred years ago Nature was reviewing E. J. Marey's Animal Mechanism (page 518, October 29, 1874). These cumbersome mechanisms were soon to be replaced by Muy- bridge's zoopraxiscope camera. On page 567 we look at a Muybridge sequence and-a century later-what happens when the light is switched on. nature 27 Volume 252 October 18, 1974 Investigating the paranormal 559 For those in peril on the factory floor 560 INTERNATIONAL NEWS 562 NEWS AND VIEWS 569 ARTICLES Human reproduction and family planning: research strategies in developing countries- A. Kessler and C. C. Standley 577 Compositional variation in recent Icelandic tholeiites and the Kverkfjöll hot spot- G. E. Sigvaldason, S. Steinthorsson, N. Oskarsson and P. Imsland 579 Climatic significance of deuterium abundance in growth rings of Picea-W. E. Shiegl 582 Properties of hybrids between Salmonella phage P22 and coliphage 2- D. Botstein and I. Herskowitz 584 LETTERS TO NATURE-Physical Sciences Distance to Cygnus X-1-C .- C. Cheng, K. J. H. Phillips and A. M. Wilson . 589 High energy radiation from white holes-J. V. Narlikar, K. M. V. Appa Rao and N. Dadhich 590 Spectrum of the cosmic background radiation between 3 mm and 800 um- E. I. Robson, D. G. Vickers, J. S. Huizinga, J. E. Beckman and P. E. Clegg 591 A new solar-terrestrial relationship-G. M. Brown 592 Rainfall, drought and the solar cycle-C. A. Wood and R. R. Lovett 594 Dynamic implications of mantle hotspots-M. A. Khan 596 A-type doubling in the CH molecule-R. E. Hammersley and W. G. Richards 597 Drag-reducing polymers and liquid-column oscillations-W. D. McComb 598 1/f noise with a low frequency white noise limit-K. L. Schick and A. A. Verveen 599 Second Law of Thermodynamics-D. R. Wilkie 601 Information transmission under conditions of sensory shielding-R. Targ and H. Puthoff 602 LETTERS TO NATURE-Biological Sciences The stability of a feasible random ecosystem-A. Roberts 607 Objective evaluation of auditory evoked EEG responses-B. McA. Sayers and H. A. Beagley 608 Imprinting and exploration of slight novelty in chicks-P. S. Jackson and P. P. G. Bateson 609 Microbial activation of prophenoloxidase from immune insect larvae-A. E. Pye 610 Elevation of total serum IgE in rats following helminth parasite infection- E. Jarrett and H. Bazin 612 Alternative route for nitrogen assimilation in higher plants-P. J. Lea and B. J. Miflin 614 Evolution of cell senescence, atherosclerosis and benign tumours-D. Dykhuizen 616 Insulin stimulates myogenesis in a rat myoblast line-J .- L. Mandel and M. L. Pearson 618 Sickle cell.resistance to in vivo hypoxia-O. Castro, S. C. Finch and G. Osbaldistone 620 Expression of the dystrophia muscularis (dy) recessive gene in mice-R. Parsons 621 Growth of human muscle spindles in vitro-B. J. Elliott and D. G. F. Harriman 622 Multiple control mechanisms underlie initiation of growth in animal cells- L. J. de Asua and E. Rozengurt 624 Control of cell division in yeast using the ionophore, A23187 with calcium and magnesium-J. H. Duffus and L. J. Patterson . 626 Antigen of mouse bile capillaries and cuticle of intestinal mucosa- N. I. Khramkova and T. D. Beloshapkina 627 Ultrastructural analysis of toxin binding and entry into mammalian cells- G. L. Nicolson 628 Serum dopamine B-hydroxylase activity in developing hypertensive rats-T. Nagatsu, T. Kato, Y. Numata (Sudo), K. Ikuta, H. Umezawa, M. Matsuzaki and T. Takeuchi 630 Enzymatic synthesis of acetylcholine by a serotonin-containing neurone from Helix- Approved For Release 2003/04/181; CIA/DP96/00787-000700050002-0 631
- Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 559 1 nature October 18, 1974 Volume 251 Investigating the paranormal WE publish this week a paper by Drs R. Targ and H. Puthoff (page 602) which is bound to create something of a stir in the scientific community. The claim is made that information can be transferred by some channel whose characteristics appear to fall "outside the range of known perceptual modalities". Or, more bluntly, some people can read thoughts or see things remotely. Such a claim is, of course, bound to be greeted with a preconditioned reaction amongst many scientists. To some it simply confirms what they have always known or believed. To others it is beyond the laws of science and therefore necessarily unacceptable. But to a few-though perhaps to more than is realised-the questions are still unanswered, and any evidence of high quality is worth a critical examination. The issue, then, is whether the evidence is of sufficient quality to be taken seriously. In trying to answer this, we have been fortunate in having the help of three indepen- dent referees who have done their utmost to see the paper as a potentially important scientific communication and not as a challenge to or confirmation of prejudices. We thank them for the considerable effort they have put in to helping us, and we also thank Dr Christopher Evans of the National Physical Laboratory whose continued advice on the subject is reflected in the content of this leading article. A general indication of the referees' comments may be helpful to readers in reaching their own assessment of the paper. Of the three, one believed we should not publish, one did not feel strongly either way and the third was guardedly in favour of publication. We first summarise the arguments against the paper. (1) There was agreement that the paper was weak in design and presentation, to the extent that details given as to the precise. way in which the experiment was carried out were disconcertingly vague. The referees felt that insuf- ficient account had been taken of the established method- ology of experimental psychology and that in the form Originally submitted the paper would be unlikely to be accepted for publication in a psychological journal on these grounds alone. Two referees also felt that the authors had not taken into account the lessons learnt in the past by parapsychologists researching this tricky and complicated area. 1 (2)The three referees were particularly critical of the method of target selection used, pointing out that the choice of a target by "opening a dictionary at random" is a naive, vague and unnecessarily controversial approach to randomisation. Parapsychologists have long rejected such methods of target selection and, as one referee put it, weaknesses of this kind reveal "a lack of skill in their experiments, which might have caused them to make some other mistake which is less evident from their writing". 2R 3LP : (to use one phrase). This in itself might be sufficient to raise doubt that the experiments have demonstrated the existence of a new channel of communication which does not involve the use of the senses. (4) Two of the referees felt that it was a pity that the paper, instead of concentrating in detail and with meti- culous care on one particular approach to extra-sensory phenomena, produced a mixture of different experiments, using different subjects in unconnected circumstances and with only a tenuous overall theme. At the best these were more "a series of pilot studies . . . than a report of a completed experiment". On their own these highly critical comments could be grounds for rejection of the paper, but it was felt that other points needed to be taken into account before a final decision could be made. (1) Despite its shortcomings, the paper is presented as a scientific document by two qualified scientists, writing from a major research establishment apparently with the unqualified backing of the research institute itself. (2) The authors have clearly attempted to investigate under laboratory conditions phenomena which, while highly implausible to many scientists, would nevertheless seem to be worthy of investigation even if, in the final analysis, negative findings are revealed. If scientists dispute and debate the reality of extra-sensory perception, then the subject is clearly a matter for scientific study and reportage. ' (3) Very considerable advance publicity-it is fair to say not generated by the authors or their institute-has preceded the presentation of this report. As a result many scientists and very large numbers of non-scientists believe, as the result of anecdote and hearsay, that the Stanford Research Institute (SRI) was engaged in a major research programme into parapsychological matters and had even been the scene of a remarkable breakthrough in this field. The publication of this paper, with its muted claims, sug- gestions of a limited research programme, and modest data, is, we believe, likely to put the whole matter in more reason- able perspective. (4) The claims that have been made by, or on behalf of, one of the subjects, Mr Uri Geller, have been hailed pub- licly as indicating total acceptance by the SRI of allegedly sensational powers and may also perhaps now be seen in true perspective. It must be a matter of interest to scientists to note that, contrary to very widespread rumour, the paper does not present any evidence whatsoever for Geller's alleged abilities to bend metal rods by stroking them, influence magnets at a distance, make watches stop or start by some psychokinetic force and so on. The publi- cation of the paper would be justified on the grounds of allowing scientists the opportunity to discriminate between the cautious, limited and still highly debatable experi- mental data, and extravagant rumour, fed in recent days by inaccurate attempts in some newspapers at precognition of the contents of the paper. (5) Two of the referees also felt that the paper should be published because it would allow parapsychologists, and all other scientists interested in researching this arguable field, to gauge the quality of the Stanford research and (3) All the referees felt that the details given of various safeguards and precautions introduced against the pos; sibility of conscious or unconscious fraud on the part of One or other APRESYGEctorRelease20A3604MgiCIA-RDR9600787RQQ070005000260 parapsychology. .......----- . - ; vlon s and ISSUE currency Je mader
560 Nature Vol. 251 October 18 1974 -* (6) Nature; although sean by somsas onpgfhs /2003/04Ff8CAROPot00967H0007000500desieramongst most respected journals cannot afford to livenon respect -. ability. We believe that our readers expect us to be a home 'for the occasional 'high-risk' type of paper. This is hardly to assert .that we regularly fly in the face of referees' recom- ~ mendations (we always consider the possibility of publishing, as. in this case, a summary of their objections). It is to say that the unusual must now and then be allowed a toe-hold in the literature, sometimes to flourish, more often to be forgotten within a year or two. The critical comments above were sent to the authors who have modified their manuscript in response to them.". We have also corresponded informally with the authors on one or two issues such as whether the targets could have been forced by standard magical tricks, and are convinced that this is not the case. As a result. of these exchanges . and the above considerations we have decided to publish in the belief that, however flawed the experimental pro- cedure and however difficult the process of distilling the essence of a complex series .of events into a scientific manuscript, it was on balance preferable to publish and maybe stimulate and advance the -controversy rather than -keep it out of circulation for a further period. Publishing in a scientific journal is not a process of receiving,a seal of approval from the establishment; rather it is the serving of notice on the community that there is something worthy of their attention and scrutiny. And this .some to repeat the experiments with even more . caution. To:this end the #New Scientist .does a service by publishing this week the results of Dr Joe Hanlon's own investiga- tions into a wide range of phenomena surrounding Mr .Geller. If the subject is to be investigated further-and no scientist is likely to accept more than that the SRI experi- ments provide a prima facie case for more investigations- the experimental technique will have to take account of Dr Hanlon's strictures, those of our own referees and those, doubtless, of others who will be looking for - alternative explanations. Perhaps the most important issue raised by the circum- stances surrounding the publication of this paper is whether science has yet developed ithe competence ;to confront claims of the paranormal. Supposedly paranormal events frequently cannot be investigated in the calm, controlled and meticulous way that scientists are expected .to work, and so there is always a danger that the 'investigator, swept up in the confusion that surrounds many . experiments, abandons his initial intentions in order to go along with his subject's desires. It may be that all experiments of this sort should be exactly prescribed beforehand by one group, done by another :unassociated group and evaluated in terms of . performance by the first group. Only by increasing austerity of approach by scientists will there be any major progress in this field. For those in peril on the factory floor In this article Peter J. Smith argues that a greater commitment (in deed . plete overthrow of the capitalist system; . as well as word) .to community science by the Scientific Establish- ment might help the world of science regain some of the public respect it trial system. Fortunately, one can easily has lost. THE question of who speaks, or should . speak, on behalf of the scientific com- munity has been debated on many oc- casions, most often without result. On the face of it, such lack of resolution is hardly unexpected, for scientists and scientific institutions are not noted for their ready ability to achieve con- sensus. Yet there is no doubt that they can put up a pretty collective front when they feel so moved. The one famous occasion on which a near con- sensus was reached was when the scientific community saw itself put at risk financially by the Rothschild pro- . posals. Then individuals and institu- tions miraculously found a common cause of self-preservation. But when it comes to the defence of Jess privileged groups it is quite a dif- ferent story; the voice of the British scientific community is seldom to be . heard, whether taking a moral stance, exerting humanitarian pressure, supply- ing expertise or even simply providing information. A good case in point is provided by a new Socialist Worker pamphlet entitled Asbestos: The Dust that Kills in the Name of Profu. As the title hints, the object of Socialist Worker is nothing less than the com- .and one of the ways of achieving this aim, it seems, is to give strident publi- city to defects in the capitalist-indus- avoid a sharp turn to the left and still admit that what some British workers have been subjected to in the name of asbestos production is beyond the limit of acceptability in a .humani- tarian society. For what clearly emerges from the rhetoric of the pamphlet in question is a picture of men and women .reacting in some bewilderment to the long-term ill effects of a technological activity. . The chief consequence is, of course, asbestosis-a killing disease acquired by breathing in asbestos fibres. The bulk of the pamphlet is devoted to case histories of men to whom asbes- tosis has come as a shock after a decade or so in the industry. But more. instructively, there is also a short ac- ccount of the fight for safety put up by a small group of the 7/162 Glasgow insulation workers' branch of the Transport and General Workers Union against the obstruction of the asbestos companies, the indifference of politi- cians, the weakness of the Factory Inspectorate, the silence of much of the press, the impotence of health authorities, the equivocal official stance of unions in general, and, last but not least, apathy among many of the asbestos workers themselves. And there is certainly something to fight. about. According to Patrick Kinnersly (The Hazards of Work: How Jo Fight Them, Pluto Press, 1973), asbestosis is taking an increasing toll: 64 are known to have died in 1965, 107 in 1970 and 113 in 1971. The number of new cases diagnosed rose from 82 in 1965 to 153 in 1970. Moreover, asbestosis is only one of the asbestos-induced diseases. Lung cancer appears to require a smaller exposure to asbestos. There is also another form of cancer known as mesothelioma which involves growths in the linings of the lungs and stomach. Almost all mesotheliomas are caused by asbestos; but no one knows how many workers in Britain are killed by them, partly because they take so long to develop and partly because they are not always identified. The TUC Cen- tenary Institute of Occupational Health has suggested that, 30 years after first exposure, about one in 200 will be found to have died of mesothelioma; but Dr Irving J. Selikoff of Mount Sinai Hospital in New York is ap- parently .more .pessimistic. He has recently been quoted as saying that, for every 100,000 workers entering the asbestos industry under the safety standards obtaining in the United States as recently as 1971, he would expect 20,000 to die of lung cancer, 7,000 of mesothelioma and 7,000 of other cancers and asbestosis. . Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 Dure Vol. The point : ¿ asbestos 1 mto some Blof a hun Easily be us to argue Justry shou Such a inconceiva tsthat asbe 500 puses in Material livia que :, comb iperviousnes nots (and th more .da: warto stay. Butitunder ; Stay? And unditions? T nerge from ikers of G Lleno org sted with Ence. has p. Mitish Associ Sience and I arch Counc voyal Institu diversity Gr Fent. The A :achers has any other Hvidual .S malists ha hat has be evidence . . ponsibility i even a sign entific com Esis true of esearch Cou heir :grants a cal of basic Search into aseases; and instrued as ton, the indiv hexvaluable make is n En -when d ence and te salth (and th ·neir mitigati han fundam 'ature of the Here, with sbestos case bility to ma me specific ommunity c ne. and cou ) Admit mo gia clear le fects of sci minated or Bernard Dixc allins, 1973) pected, un appen, the s equally, Te "hers in do
602 Nature Vol. 251 October 18 1974 "".Legon poses, as a challenstovedurch Terefaset:008/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002F .WILKIE >work from the mixing of two ideal gases in :an isolated .Department of Physiology, system of constant total volume. It is elementary that tif University College London, the mixture is allowed to form by merely withdrawing ia Gower Street, London WCIE 6BT, UK "partition between the gases we have a good example cof a completely irreversible process with maximal entropy . creation (+11.53 J K-1 if we started with 1 mol of each Received December 3, 1973; revised June 4, 1974. at 300 K) and no performance or storage of work. . On the other hand, by introducing into the system -a suitable machine, the uniform mixture could be allowed to form in such a way that a weight within the system. was raised. (The machine described by Planck (ref. 8, page 219) may 4 Wilkie, D. R., Nature, 242, 606 (1973). be readily adapted for this purpose.) At the end of :the " Wilkie, D. R., Nature, 245, 457 (1973). ' Legon, A. C., Nature, 244, 431 (1973). latter mixing process the isolated system would accordingly contain more mechanical energy than it did at the begin- ning. From the First Law it follows that the system must necessarily contain less thermal energy; that is, its tempera- ture must have fallen. In the limit, where the mixing was reversible, the maximum possible work would have been performed and transferred to the weight (2,769 J'rif the gases were monatomic) and the temperature .would 11 Thomson, W., Phil. Mag., Series 4, 5, 102 (1853). have fallen to 189 K. In this reversible case the -change in entropy arising from mixing (+11.53 J K-1) .is exactly counterbalanced by that attributable to cooling (-11.53 2] K-1): no entropy is created. At this point it might be objected that the change in the gases is not exactly the same as if they had mixed irreversibly, because their thermal energy and temperature have decreased. This is a simple consequence of the First Law which applies equally no matter whether one is considering an isolated system, a non-isolated one or the whole Universe. If a change is conducted in such a way that a weight is lifted then all the other bodies involved cannot possibly end up in the same state as if the weight had not been lifted. - Failure to apply to nonisothermal systems. Legon ex- presses doubts about the validity of the equation for entropy creation (refs 3 and 4) save for "the trivial case for which the temperature Te of the environment is . equal to the temperature T of the system throughout the process"". On what grounds are these doubts based? Legon does not discuss, let alone dismiss, any of the sources quoted in my article'. Other relevant sources which should be considered are Keenan and Hatsopoulos13 and the classic accounts by Maxwell" and by Gouy1. Legon's quotation from Planck (ref. 8, page 104) con- cerning "dissipated energy" deserves close consideration. It seems to state that the maximum work is a definite quantity only for isothermal processes. If true this would directly contradict the views of Thomson" (later Lord Kelvin) "On a universal tendency in Nature to the dissi- pation of mechanical energy". On pages 113-117 of ref. . 8, however, Planck discusses his own statement (ref. 8, page 104) and we see that there is in fact no contradiction. What Planck demonstrates is that although the change in Helm- holtz free energy, -dA =- d(U-TS), measures Wmax under isothermal conditions, it cannot conveniently be used to determine wmax under nonisothermal conditions because the term S dT that then appears is frequently indeterminate. The same point has already been made in a footnote .by Gouy (ref. 15, page 506) who had also given the correct 1 equation for determining Wmar under nonisothermal con- ditions. Accordingly I find no substance in Legon's objec- tions under this heading. If it is thought that there is conflict between the 'work' view of thermodynamics and the 'entropy' view it is high time that the idea was abandoned. The two views are different, but symmetrical, aspects of the same reality. Spontaneous processes of all kinds fall somewhere within the pattern shown in Table 1, their position depending on the efficiency of the machinery used for the extraction of work. 1 Bridgman, P. W., The Nature of Thermodynamics, 116 (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1943). 2 Everett, D. H., Chemical Thermodynamics, 216 =(Longman, London, 1971). "" Butler, J. A. V .. , Chemical Thermodynamics, fourth ed. (Macmillan, 1955). 7 Carnot, S., Reflections on the motive power of fire (1824), translation (Dover, New York, 1960). ' Planck, M., Treatise on Thermodynamics, third ed., trans. from seventh German ed., 1922 (Dover, New York, 1958). ' Joule, J. P., Phil. Mag., Series 4, 5, 1 (1853). " Maxwell, J. C., Theory of Heat, fifth ed., chapter XII (Long- mans Green, London, 1877). 12 Guggenheim, E. A., Thermodynamics, third ed. (North Hol- land, Amsterdam, 1957). 13 Keenan, J. H., and Hatsopoulos, G. N., Principles of General Thermodynamics (Wiley, New York, 1965). 14 Gouy, M., J. de Phys., 2ª serie, t.VIII (Novembre 1889). "'Thomson, W., Phil. Mag., Series 4, 4, 304 (1852); corrections in ibid, 5, viii. Information transmission under conditions of sensory shielding WE present results of experiments suggesting the existence of one or more perceptual modalities through which individuals obtain information about their environment, although this information is not presented to any known sense. The litera- turel-3 and our observations lead us to conclude that such abilities can be studied under laboratory conditions. . We have investigated the ability of certain people to describe graphical material .or remote scenes shielded against ordinary perception. In addition, we performed pilot studies to determine if electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings might indicate perception of remote happenings even in the absence of correct overt responses. We concentrated on what we consider to be our primary responsibility-to resolve under conditions as unambiguous as possible the basic issue of whether a certain class of para- normal perception phenomena exists. So we conducted our experiments with sufficient control, utilising visual, acoustic and electrical shielding, to ensure that all conventional paths of sensory input were blocked. At all times we took measures to prevent sensory leakage and to prevent deception, whether intentional or unintentional. Our goal is not just to catalogue interesting- events, but to uncover patterns of cause-effect relationships that lend them- selves to analysis and hypothesis in the forms with which we are familiar in scientific study. The results presented here constitute a first step towards that goal; we have established under known conditions a data base from which departures as a function of physical and psychological variables can be studied in future work. REMOTE PERCEPTION OF GRAPHIC MATERIAL First, we conducted experiments with Mr Uri Geller in which we examined his ability, while located in an electrically shielded room, to reproduce target pictures drawn by experi- menters located at remote locations. Second, we conducted double-blind experiments with Mr Pat Price, in which we measured his ability to describe remote outdoor scenes many miles from his physical location. Finally, we conducted pre- Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 TAR . RESI -7 TARGET uminary te perceive wi whether .a even if only In prelin ability to r been draw was not pe known to was not discriminat contents a the experim So we ex 6Feliminat subliminal. and anyone offref. 4 .. In the fir Experiments are deleted At the Experimente forward . G electrically location. O menters wa foteliminate the possibil ignorant as and as to th by the use Rechnique o first word t blind to exp Jature V
Nature Vol. 251 Octonprovedl For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 603 liminary tests using EEGs, in which subjects were asked to perceive whether a remote light was flashing, and to determine whether a subject could perceive the presence of the light, even if only at a noncognitive level of awareness. In preliminary testing Geller apparently demonstrated an ability to reproduce simple pictures (line drawings) which had been drawn and placed in opaque sealed envelopes which he was not permitted to handle. But since each of the targets was known to at least one experimenter in the room with Geller, it was not possible on the basis of the preliminary testing to discriminate between Geller's direct perception of envelope contents and perception through some mechanism involving the experimenters, whether paranormal or subliminal. So we examined the phenomenon under conditions designed to eliminate all conventional information channels, overt or subliminal. Geller was separated from both the target material and anyone knowledgeable of the material, as in the experiments of ref. 4. In the first part of the study a series of 13 separate drawing experiments were carried out over 7 days. No experiments are deleted from the results presented here. At the beginning of the experiment either Geller or the experimenters entered a shielded room so that from that time forward Geller was at all times visually, acoustically and electrically shielded from personnel and material at the target location. Only following Geller's isolation from the experi- menters was a target chosen and drawn, a procedure designed to eliminate pre-experiment cueing. Furthermore, to eliminate the possibility of pre-experiment target forcing, Geller was kept ignorant as to the identity of the person selecting the target and as to the method of target selection. This was accomplished by the use of three different techniques: (1) pseudo-random technique of opening a dictionary arbitrarily and choosing the first word that could be drawn (Experiments 1-4); (2) targets, blind to experimenters and subject, prepared independently by SRI scientists outside the experimental group (following Geller's isolation) and provided to the experimenters during the course of the experiment (Experiments 5-7, 11-13); and (3) arbitrary selection from a target pool decided upon in advance of daily experimentation and designed to provide data concern- ing information content for use in testing specific hypotheses (Experiments 8-10). Geller's task was to reproduce with pen on paper the line drawing generated at the target location. Following a period of effort ranging from a few minutes to half an hour, Geller either passed (when he did not feel con- fident) or indicated he was ready to submit a drawing to the experimenters, in which case the drawing was collected before Geller was permitted to see the target. To prevent sensory cueing of the target information, Experiments 1 through 10 were carried out using a shielded room in SRI's facility for EEG research. The acoustic and visual isolation is provided by a double-walled steel room, locked by means of an inner and outer door, each of which is secured with a refrigerator-type locking mechanism. Following target selection when Geller was inside the room, a one-way audio monitor, operating only from the inside to the outside, was activated to monitor Geller during his efforts. The target picture was never discussed by the experimenters after the picture was drawn and brought near the shielded room. In our detailed examination of the shielded room and the protocol used in these experiments, no sensory leakage has been found. The conditions and results for the 10 experiments carried out in the shielded room are displayed in Table 1 and Fig. 1. All experiments except 4 and 5, were conducted with Geller inside the shielded room. In Experiments 4 and 5, the procedure was reversed. For those experiments in which Geller was inside the shielded room, the target location was in an adjacent room at a distance of about 4 m, except for Experiments 3 and 8, in which the target locations were, respec- tively, an office at a distance of 475 m and a room at a distance of about 7 m. A response was obtained in all experiments except Numbers 5-7. In Experiment 5, the person-to-person link was eliminated by arranging for a scientist outside the usual experimental group to draw a picture, lock it in the shielded room before Geller's arrival at SRI, and leave the area. Geller was then led DEVIL TARGET RESPONSE 1 1. RESPONSE 2 TARGET RESPONSE TARGET RESPONSE 1 RESPONSE 2' RESPONSE 3 b Solan Syste TARGET 1 TARGET BRIDGE TARGET 1 URI GELLER: 18 RESPONSE RESPONSE RESPONSE TARGET RESPONSE e f g Approved For Release 2003/04/1 Fig. I Target pictures and responses 9 9 6y BP896-QA787000700060002-0 1 a 1
$604 Nature Vol. 251 October 18 1974 Approved For Release 2003/04/18 ; CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 Table 1 .Remote perception of graphic material Experiment Date Geller Location Target Location Target Figure 1 8/4/73 Shielded room 1* la 2 8/4/73 Shielded room 1' Adjacent room (4.1 m)t Adjacent room (4.1 m) Office :(475 m) Firecracker Grapes 1b 3 8/5/73 Shielded room 1 Devil 1c 4 8/5/73 Room adjacent to Shielded room 1 Solar system 1d shielded room 1 (3.2.m) 5 8/6/73 Room adjacent to Shielded room 1 (3.2 m) Rabbit No drawing 6 8/7/73 Shielded room 1 Adjacent room (4.1 m) Tree 'No drawing 7 8/7/73 Shielded room 1 Adjacent room (4.1 m) Remote room (6.75 m) Camel 9 8/8/73 Shielded room 1 Adjacent room (4.1 m) Bridge Seagull 1f 10 8/8/73 Shielded room 1 Adjacent room (4.1 m) 1g 11 8/9/73 Shielded room 2+ Computer (54 m) Church (computer memory) 2b 13 8/10/73 Shielded room 2 Computer (54 m) Computer (54 m) Arrow through heart 2c (computer CRT, zero intensity) *EEG Facility shielded room (see text). +Perceiver-target distances measured in metres. #SRI Radio Systems Laboratory shielded room (see text). by the experimenters to the shielded room and asked to draw the picture located inside the room. He said that he got no clear impression and therefore did not submit a drawing. The elimina- tion of the person-to-person link was examined further in the second series of experiments with this subject. Experiments 6 and 7 were carried out while we attempted to record Geller's EEG during his efforts to perceive the target pictures. The target pictures were, respectively, a tree and an envelope. He found it difficult to hold adequately still for good EEG records, said that be experienced difficulty in getting impressions of the targets and again submitted no drawings. Experiments 11 through 13 were carried out in SRI's Engin- cering Building, to make use of the computer facilities available there. For these experimenters, Geller was secured in a double- walled, copper-screen Faraday cage 54 m down the hall and around the corner from the computer room. The Faraday cage provides 120 dB attenuation for plane wave radio frequency radiation over a range of 15 kHz to 1 GHz. For magnetic fields the attenuation is 68 dB at 15 kHz and decreases to 3 dB at 60 Hz. Following Geller's isolation, the targets for these experiments were chosen by computer laboratory personnel not otherwise associated with either the experiment or Geller, and the experimenters and subject were kept blind as to the contents of the target pool. For Experiment 11, a picture of a kite was drawn on the face of a cathode ray tube display screen, driven by the computer's graphics program. For Experiment 12, a picture of a church was drawn and stored in the memory of the computer. In Experiment 13, the target drawing, an arrow through a heart (Fig. 2c), was drawn on the face of the cathode ray tube and then the display intensity was turned off so that no picture was visible. To obtain an independent evaluation of the correlation be- tween target and response data, the experimenters submitted the data for judging on a "blind' basis by two SRI scientists who were not otherwise associated with the research. For the 10 cases in which Geller provided a response, the judges were asked to match the response data with the corresponding target data (without replacement). In those cases in which Geller made more than one drawing as his response to the target, all the drawings were combined as a set for judging. The two judges each matched the target data to the response data with no error. For either judge such a correspondence has an a priori probability, under the null hypothesis of no in- formation channel, of P = (10!)-1 = 3 x 10-7. A second series of experiments was carried out to determine whether direct perception of envelope contents was possible without some person knowing of the target picture. One hundred target pictures of everyday objects were drawn by an SRI artist and sealed by other SRI personnel in double envelopes containing black cardboard. The hundred targets were divided randomly into groups of 20 for use in each of the three days' experiments. On each of the three days of these experiments, Geller passed. That is, he declined to associate any envelope with a drawing that he made, expressing dissatisfaction with the existence of such a large target pool. On each day he made approximately 12 recognisable drawings, which he felt were associated with the entire target pool of 100. On each of the three days, two of his drawings could reasonably be associated with two of the 20 daily targets. On the third day, two of his drawings were very close replications of two of that day's target pictures. The drawings resulting from this experiment do not depart signific- antly from what would be expected by chance. In a simpler experiment Geller was successful in obtaining information under conditions in which no persons were know- ledgeable of the target. A double-blind experiment was per- formed in which a single 3/4 inch die was placed in a 3 x 4 x 5 inch steel box. The box was then vigorously shaken by one of the experimenters and placed on the table, a technique found in control runs to produce a distribution of die faces differing non- significantly from chance. The orientation of the die within the box was unknown to the experimenters at that time. Geller would then write down which die face was uppermost. The target pool was known, but the targets were individually pre- pared in a manner blind to all persons involved in the experi- ment. This experiment was performed ten times, with Geller passing twice and giving a response eight times, In the eight times in which he gave a response, he was correct each time. The distribution of responses consisted of three 2s, one 4, two 5s, and two 6s. The probability of this occurring by chance is approximately one in 106. In certain situations significant information transmission can take place under shielded conditions. Factors which appear to be important and therefore candidates for future investigation include whether the subject knows the set of targets in the target pool, the actual number of targets in the target pool at any given time, and whether the target is known by any of the experimenters. It has been widely reported that Geller has demonstrated the ability to bend metal by paranormal means. Although metal bending by Geller has been observed in our laboratory, we have not been able to combine such observations with adequately controlled experiments to obtain data sufficient to support the paranormal hypothesis. REMOTE VIEWING OF NATURAL TARGETS A study by Osis' led us to determine whether a subject could describe randomly chosen geographical sites located several miles from the subject's position and demarcated by some Mature V ppropriat at>with ] Ty«counc cation-of Francisco Endent ju atural g asted for Exception aboratory official ta ared with Inzeach RI >expe scation v mained allas wh Several tning to In the . ifferentia om SRI har1100 porto th sent, the Division, . 8 8/8/73 Shielded room 1 Kite (computer CRT) 20 12 8/10/73 Shielded room 2 (month, day, year) shielded room 1 Envelope No drawing Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 Fig. 2 C
Nature Vol: 25/Bproved For-Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 605 appropriate means (remote viewing). This experiment carried out with Price, a former California police commissioner and city councilman, consisted of a series of double-blind, demon- stration-of-ability tests involving local targets in the San Francisco Bay area which could be documented by several inde- pendent judges. We planned the experiment considering that natural geographical places or man-made sites that have existed for a long time are more potent targets for paranormal perception experiments than are artificial targets prepared in the laboratory. This is based on subject opinions that the use of artificial. targets involves a 'trivialisation of the ability' as com- pared with natural pre-existing targets. In each of nine experiments involving Price as subject and SRI experimenters as a target demarcation team, a remote location was chosen in a double-blind protocol. Price, who remained at SRI, was asked to describe this remote location, as well as whatever activities might be going on there. Several descriptions yielded significantly correct data per- taining to and descriptive of the target location. In the experiments a set of twelve target locations clearly differentiated from each other and within 30 min driving time from SRI had been chosen from a target-rich environment (more than 100 targets of the type used in the experimental series) prior to the experimental series by an individual in SRI manage- ment, the director of the Information Science and Engineering Division, not otherwise associated with the experiment. Both the experimenters and the subject were kept blind as to the contents of the target pool; which were used without replace- ment. · An experimenter was closeted with Price at SRI to wait 30 min to begin the narrative description of the remote location. The SRI locations from which the subject viewed the remote locations con- sisted of an outdoor. park (Experiments 1; 2), the double-walled copper-screen Faraday cage .discussed earlier (Experiments 3, 4, and 6-9); and an office (Experiment 5). A second experimenter would then obtain a target location from the Division Director from a set of travelling orders previously prepared and randomised by the Director and kept under his control. The target demarcation team (two to four SRI experimenters) then proceeded directly to the target by automobile without communicating with the subject or experimenter remaining behind. Since the experimenter remaining with the subject at SRI was in ignorance both as to the particular target and as to the. target pool, he was free to question Price to clarify his descrip- tions. The demarcation team then remained at the target site for 30 min after the 30 min allotted for travel. During the observation period, the remote-viewing subject would describe his impressions of the target site into a tape recorder. A comparison was then made when the demarcation team returned. Price's ability to describe correctly buildings, docks, roads, gardens and so on, including structural: materials, colour,. ambience and activity, sometimes in great detail, indicated the functioning of a remote perceptual ability. But the descriptions contained inaccuracies as well as correct statements. To obtain a numerical evaluation of the accuracy of the remote viewing experiment, the experimental. results were subjected to inde- pendent judging on a blind basis by five SRI scientists who were TARGET . TARGET TARGET el RESPONSE. 1. RESPONSE 1 ...... RESPONSE RESPONSE 2 RESPONSE 2 a b Fig. 2. Computer Approved ForRelease2003/04/18 GARDR960078700000050002drawing stored. computer memory only; c, computer drawing stored on video- display with zero intensity." -L. ring targe ofthe passed rawing. indt
¥606 Nature Vol. 251 October 18 1974 Approved For Release 2003/04/18: SIA-ROP96-00787R000700050002-0 . Descriptions chosen by judges not otherwise associated with the research. The judges were asked to match the nine locations, which they independently visited, against the typed manuscripts of the tape-recorded nar- ratives of the remote viewer. The transcripts were unlabelled and presented in random order. The judges were asked to find a narrative which they would consider the best match for each of the places they visited. A given narrative could be assigned to more than one target location. A correct match requires that the transcript of a given date be associated with the target of that date. Table 2 shows the distribution of the judges' choices. Among all possible analyses, the most conservative is a per- mutation analysis of the plurality vote of the judges' selections assuming assignment without replacement, an approach inde- pendent of the number of judges. By plurality vote, six of the nine descriptions and locations were correctly matched. Under the null hypothesis (no remote viewing and a random selection of descriptions without replacement), this outcome has an a priori probability of P = 5.6 x 10-4, since, among all possible permutations of the integers one through nine, the probability of six or more being in their natural position in the list has that value. Therefore, although Price's descriptions contain in- accuracies, the descriptions are sufficiently accurate to permit the judges to differentiate among the various targets to the degree indicated. EEG EXPERIMENTS An experiment was undertaken to determine whether a physiological measure such as EEG activity could be used as an indicator of information transmission between an isolated subject and a remote stimulus. We hypothesised that perception could be indicated by such a measure even in the absence of verbal or other overt indicators.",". It was assumed that the application of remote stimuli would result in responses similar to those obtained under conditions of direct stimulation. For example, when normal subjects are stimulated with a flashing light, their EEG typically shows .a decrease in the amplitude of the resting rhythm and a driving of the brain waves at the frequency of the flashes®. We hypothe- sised that if we stimulated one subject in this manner (a sender), the EEG of another subject in a remote room with no flash present (a receiver), might show changes in alpha (9-11 Hz) activity, and possibly EEG driving similar to that of the sender. We informed our subject that at certain times a light was to be flashed in a sender's eyes in a distant room, and if the subject perceived that event, consciously or unconsciously, it might be evident from changes in his EEG output. The receiver was seated in the visually opaque, acoustically. and electrically shielded double-walled steel room previously described. The sender was seated in a room about 7 m from the receiver. To find subjects who were responsive to such a remote stimulus, we initially worked with four female and two male volunteer subjects, all of whom believed that success in the experimental situation might be possible. These were designated 'receivers'. The senders were either other subjects or the experimenters. We decided beforehand to run one or two sessions of 36 trials each with each subject in this selection procedure, and to do a more extensive study with any subject whose results were positive. A Grass PS-2 photostimulator placed about 1 m in front of the sender was used to present flash trains of 10 s duration. The receiver's EEG activity from the occipital region (Oz), referenced to linked mastoids, was amplified with a Grass 5P-1 preamplifier and associated driver amplifier with a bandpass of 1-120 Hz. The EEG data were recorded on magnetic tape with an Ampex SP 300 recorder. On each trial, a tone burst of fixed frequency was presented to both sender and receiver and was followed in one second by either a 10 s train of flashes or a null flash interval presented to the sender. Thirty- six such trials were given in an experimental session, consisting of 12 'null trials-no flashes following the tone-12 trials of flashes at 6 f.p.s. and 12 trials of flashes at 16 f.p.s., all randomly intermixed, deter- mined by entries from a table of random numbers. Each of the trials generated an 11-s EEG epoch. The last 4 s of the epoch was selected for analysis to minimise the desynchronising action of the warning cue. This 4-s segment was subjected to Fourier analysis on a LINC 8 computer. Spectrum analyses gave no evidence of EEG driving in any receiver, although in control runs the receivers did exhibit driving when physically stimulated with the flashes. But of the six subjects studied initially, one subject (H. H.) showed a consistent alpha blocking effect. We therefore undertook further study with this subject. Data from seven sets of 36 trials each were collected from this subject on three separate days. This comprises all the data collected to date with this subject under the test conditions described above. The alpha band was identified from average spectra, then scores of average power and peak power were obtained from individual trials and subjected to statistical analysis. Of our six subjects, H. H. had by far the most monochromatic EEG spectrum. Figure 3 shows an overlay of the three averaged spectra from one of this subject's 36-trial runs, displaying changes in her alpha activity for the three stimulus conditions. Mean values for the average power and peak power for each Table 3 EEG data for H.H. showing average power and peak power in the 9-11 Hz band, as a function of flash frequency and sender Flash Frequency 0 6 16 0 6 16 Sender Average Power Peak Power J.L. 94.8 84.1 76.8 357.7 329.2 289.6 R.T. 41.3 45.5 37.0 160.7 161.0 125.0 No sender (subject informed) 25.1 35.7 28.2 87.5 95.7 81.7 J.L. 54.2 55.3 44.8 191.4 170.5 149.3 J.L. 56.8 50.9 32.8 240.6 178.0 104.6 R.T. 39.8 24.9 30.3 145.2 74.2 122.1 No sender (subject 86.0 53.0 52.1 318.1 180.6 202.3 informed) 56.8 49.9 43.1 214.5 169.8 153.5 -12% -24%(P<0.04) -21 %-28%(P<0.03) 1 2 3 - 4 5 6 7 8 9 Hoover Tower Baylands Nature Preserve 1 ABCDE 2 ABC E Radio Telescope 3 ACD BE Redwood City Marina 4 CD ABDE E . ABD DCE Bridge Toll Plaza Drive-In Theatre 6 B A C E Arts and Crafts Garden Plaza Church 8 C AB Rinconada Park 9 CE AB Of the 45 selections (5 judges, 9 choices), 24 were correct. Bold type indicates the description chosen most often for each place visited, Correct choices lie on the main diagonal. The number of correct matches by Judges A through E is 7, 6, 5, 3, and 3, respectively. The expected number of correct matches from the five judges was five; in the experiment 24 such matches were obtained. The a priori probability of such an occurrence by chance, conservatively assuming assignment without replacement on the part of the judges, is P == 8:10-20. f the sever measures w even .peak power mea which the Run 3). It orsthis rur Ension ab This is in c ot :inform Siegel's tw ation test.v Essions in v associated w when there cond meas onditions th The average ion as that a inificant. Spectrum. 12 ks2 resist ionsof a 10 -ycaled.no i 0 Hz signal. Stem :artef ency energ Subjects w Halas to w shown to the An analysis dicating the a -nced by sign Evel of awar We hypoth seful as a S atthe general Fig. 3 Occ acting as ni pand as a fi From thes A channel can be obt modality. DAS . with . appears to ngnal. )While a qi theoretical pur experi Sfouseful i fimay be the genera w.an inc iced. For consider fore their 1 Our obser Each entry is an average over 12 trials Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 Nature . V Places visited by judges D D D - 7 ABCE not Averages
607 Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIA-RDP96-00787R000700050002-0 Nature Vol. 251 October 18 1974 of the seven experimental sets are given in Table 3. The power measures were less in the 16 f.p.s. case than in the 0 f.p.s. in all seven peak power measures and in six out of seven average power measures. Note also the reduced effect in the case in which the subject was informed that no sender was present (Run 3). It seems that overall alpha production was reduced for this run in conjunction with the subject's expressed appre- hension about conducting the experiment without a sender. This is in contrast to the case (Run 7) in which the subject was not informed. Siegel's two-tailed t approximation to the nonparametric randomi- sation test' was applied to the data from all sets, which included two sessions in which the sender was removed. Average power on trials associated with the occurrence of 16 f.p.s. was significantly less than when there were no flashes (t = 2.09, d.f. = 118, P <0.04). The second measure, peak power, was also significantly less in the 16 f.p.s. conditions than in the null condition (t = 2.16, d.f. = 118, P<0.03). The average response in the 6 f.p.s. condition was in the same direc- tion as that associated with 16 f.p.s., but the effect was not statistically significant. Spectrum analyses of control recordings made from saline with a 12 ks2 resistance in place of the subject with and without the addi- tion of a 10 Hz, 50 uV test signal applied to the saline solution, revealed no indications of flash frequencies, nor perturbations of the 10 Hz signal. These controls suggest that the results were not due to system artefacts. Further tests also gave no evidence of radio fre- quency energy associated with the stimulus. Subjects were asked to indicate their conscious assessment for each trial as to which stimulus was generated. They made their guesses known to the experimenter via one-way telegraphic communication. An analysis of these guesses has shown them to be at chance, in- dicating the absence of any supraliminal cueing, so arousal as evid- enced by significant alpha blocking occurred only at the noncognitive level of awareness. We hypothesise that the protocol described here may prove to be useful as a screening procedure for latent remote perceptual ability in the general population. Potential (arbitrary units) 6 -16 10 Hz : 15 Hz Fig. 3. Occipital EEG spectra, 0-20 Hz, for one subject (H.H.) acting as receiver, showing amplitude changes in the 9-11 Hz band as a function of strobe frequency. Three cases: 0, 6, and 16 f.p.s. (12 trial averages) ...: CONCLUSION From these experiments we conclude that: .A channel exists whereby information about a remote location can be obtained by means of an as yet unidentified perceptual modality. .As with all biological. systems, the information channel appears to be imperfect, containing noise along with the signal. · While a quantitative signal-to-noise ratio in the information -. theoretical sense cannot as yet be determined, the results of our experiments indicate that the functioning is at the level of useful information transfer. . It may be that remote perceptual ability is widely distributed in the general population, but because the perception is generally below an individual's level of awareness, it is repressed or not: noticed. For example, two of our subjects (H. H. and P. P.) had. not considered themselves to have unusual. perceptual ability before their partici Approved For Release 2003/04/18 : CIAL Up9600787100U/666500 Our observation of the phenomena leads us to conclude that experiments in the area of so-called paranormal phenomena can be scientifically conducted, and it is our hope that other laboratories will initiate additional research to attempt to replicate these findings. This research was sponsored by The Foundation for Parasen- sory Investigation, New York City. We thank Mrs Judith Skutch, Dr Edgar D. Mitchell of the Institute of Noetic Sciences-as well as our SRI associates, Mr Bonnar Cox, Mr Earle Jones and Dr Dean Brown-for support and encouragement. Constructive suggestions by Mrs Jean Mayo, Dr Charles Tart, University of California, and Dr Robert Ornstein and Dr David Galin of the Langley Porter Neuro- psychiatric Institute are acknowledged. RUSSELL TARG HAROLD PUTHOFF Electronics and Bioengineering Laboratory, Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, California 94025 Received March 11; revised July 8, 1974. 1 Pratt, J., Rhine, J. B., Stuart, C., and Greenwood, J., Extra Sensory Perception after Sixty Years (Henry Holt, New York, 1940). 2 Soal, S., and Bateman, F., Modern Experiments in Telepathy (Faber and Faber, London, 1954). 3 Vasilliev, L. L., Experiments in Mental Suggestion (ISMI Pub- lications, Hampshire, England, 1963). ' Musso, J. R., and Granero, M., J. Parapsychology, 37, 13-37 (1973). " Osis, K., ASPR Newsletter, No. 14 (1972). ' Tart, C. T., Physiological Correlates of Psi Cognition, Int. J. Parapsychology, V, No. 4 (1963). " Dean, E. D., Int. J. Neuropsychiatry, 2 (1966). " Hill, D., and Parr, G., Electroencephalography : A Symposium ... on its Various Aspects (Macmillan, New York, 1963). Siegel, S., Nonparametric Statistics for the Behavioral Sciences, 152-156 (McGraw-Hill, New York, 1956) .. The stability of a feasible random ecosystem THE weight of the evidence, and the beliefs of most biologists, seem to support the view1 that ecosystems tend to be more stable, the larger the number of interacting species they con- tain. It is puzzling, therefore, that a variety of mathematical models of complex ecosystems appear to give the contrary answer: that complexity makes for instabilityª. Prominent among such models is the complex system with random interactions, studied in various forms by Gardner and Ashby3 and May4; but their results cannot be applied as they stand to ecological systems. In an ecosystem, the interacting variables are species populations (or species biomass) which cannot take on negative values. Thus, for example, the equili- brium population values must be positive, and it is convenient to denote this necessary property of an ecosystem model by saying that it must be 'feasible'. The work referred to imposed no such constraint on equili- brium populations in the samples considered. It is of some interest, therefore, to examine the stability of a random model capable of representing ecosystems, by imposing the restriction : that the sample be feasible. I report here the results of computer calculations on such a model. The interaction equations were of the well-known quasi-linear type, in which the rate of fractional increase of a species population is a linear function of the current populations in all T species. That is, the number N, in the ith species obeys dNi/dt = N, (b, + E, a, N). and the self-regulating . coefficients an as -1. The feasiBinty reculfement was that the 03